Design of Experiments
Overview (the D in R&D)
Your
Research team, the "R" in "R&D," determines what can be
done to provide a great product to your customers. Now your
Development ("D") teams must figure out how actually to make
your great product. Design of Experiments (DOE)
techniques allow your development teams to resolve these questions
faster, with better solutions, and thereby increase your company
profits.
Research
tells Development, "To make our product, these factors are likely
to be important and these responses should be measured".
Development designs and runs experiments to know how to set the
factors to get the best responses. ALL factors have to be accounted
for- even factors nobody has thought of! DOE tells you the best
experiments to run for the factors you want to vary, it has you hold
all other known factors constant, and it has you randomize your run
order to account for factors nobody has thought of yet. Your work
will really produce a model that you can count on. You use this
model to determine the best factor settings from the outset,
ensuring quality throughout the life of the product.
Exactly what is Design
of Experiments?
Design
of Experiments tells you which data to collect to get the most
information about your product. Sometimes called multivariate
analysis, meaning that you are studying many factors, DOE gives you a
list of experiments to run. This list varies all your factors at
once, which allows you to understand widely how your factors behave
and interact with each other. Interactions are all over nature and
are not revealed by old One-Factor-At-A-Time experiments.
Technical details: DOE is the first piece of a 2-piece system
for regression analysis or curve fitting. The design step specifies
the best set of data to fit a particular curve or model. It is best
in 2 senses: 1. it is possible to separate the effects of the
various causes, and 2. it is efficient. Without a design it may not
be possible to determine the effects because they will contaminate
each other -- they will be correlated.
Suppose
you want to fit data to a line. You can simply start running
experiments and start fitting the results to a line. But suppose you
aren't very clever and you never run any experiments near the ends of
the line. You won't be able to predict anything near the ends of the
line unless you are lucky. So your design says "collect data near
the ends of the line." This is smart and efficient.
Now
suppose you want to fit data to a parabola. You not only need to
collect data at the ends, but also in the middle so you can know the
extent of the curvature. If you are not so smart, you will just
start collecting data wherever you feel like it and, in so doing,
waste a lot of time and possibly fit a parabola that can't predict
well. A design says "collect data at the ends and in the middle."
This is smart and efficient.
With
multivariate analysis -- many factors -- you fit a surface in
several dimensions. Even a smart person has trouble determining
where to collect data for the best fit in this situation. A design
tells you where to collect data to be sure to get a good fit and to
be efficient about the data collection.
Response Surface
Methodology (RSM)-what does this have to do with DOE?
RSM
is the system for analyzing the results of your designed experiments.
Each response (a measured result or goal) is fitted onto a
surface like a map, where you pinpoint the best solution to your
project. If you have more than one response goal, RSM will tell you
the best combination of your factors to meet all your goals
simultaneously. RSM also shows you, like on a topographical map,
what will happen to your response(s) if you change the factor
settings. This helps you understand how robust your solution is.
Will you have wide production tolerances or not when your project
goes to manufacturing?
RSM
is done with software. RSM gives you your "Sweet Spot," your
answer, the best settings for each of your factors to produce
your high quality, reproducible product.
Technical details: RSM is the second piece in the system. It
fits the data you have collected to a polynomial. This is a surface
in many dimensions, one for each factor and one for the response.
This is the model. It lets you predict the outcomes of
thousands of experiments you have never run.
RSM
is not dependent on DOE. You can fit a response surface to any
data. However, like the line or parabola above, you will only get a
good model if you were lucky. If you collected your data using a
design you will know that you have a smart, efficient set of data
that will produce the best fit possible.
The Relationship of DOE
and RSM to Product Development
DOE
plus RSM give you the tools to develop high quality products as
quickly as possible. Instead of having to run experiments until
something works, you run an efficient set of wisely chosen
experiments that will fit to an RSM model. This model will predict
where you need to work to develop the best product.
Previously,
technical staff would run experiments for every guess they had as to
how things should work. Although no-one would admit it, this "hunt
and peck" method was very common. When would they know if they
could develop this product or the best way to develop it? Who knows?
One-Factor-at-a-Time
(OFAT) experimentation replaced "hunt and peck." Staff, using
what they learned in college, ran experiments like this: Hold every
factor constant except one, vary that factor until you find where it
works best, then hold that factor constant and vary another one.
Continue until all of the best factor levels are found.
OFAT
seems so reasonable that most people will agree that it must work.
But it usually doesn't! Why not? It turns out that Nature often
works through interactions. It isn't the temperature or the time
that is important when baking a cake -- it is setting the right
temperature for the baking time that matters (or baking for the right
amount of time for the chosen temperature). The OFAT method taught
in college prevents you from seeing these interactions. An
experiment design LOOKS for them.
Each
time you add more factors and/or more responses, your task becomes
even more complex. After a certain level, only a designed experiment
will produce a genuine "Sweet Spot" in a reasonable time period.
When your development
teams use DOE plus RSM:
They
will provide a realistic estimate of the amount of work required
before any experimentation is started
They will be able to determine the best way to make your product.
They will take all the important interactions into account.
They will even be able to show which of all the possible interactions
are important and which are not.
They will be able to do all this work efficiently.